State House Sound Bites

Capitol reporter Mary Wilson covers Pennsylvania politics and issues at the Pennsylvania state capitol.

Poll: 46 percent undecided, but Wolf leads among voters who made their picks

Written by Mary Wilson, Capitol Bureau Chief | Apr 2, 2014 9:18 PM
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Photo by Mary Wilson / witf


A new poll of Democratic voters in Pennsylvania shows a big chunk of the electorate still haven't made up their minds about their party's four remaining candidates for governor, though among likely voters, Tom Wolf has a strong lead.

"The gubernatorial election remains pretty much locked in place where it was a month ago," said Terry Madonna, director of the Franklin & Marshall College Poll.

46 percent of surveyed Democrats remain undecided, a small drop from the 48 percent who didn't pick a favorite when asked in a poll in late February. But Madonna said it's not clear those undecided voters will really matter on election day.

"They're not likely to lead the turnout drive on May 20 - they're not likely to lead the parade of Democratic voters that will turn out," said Madonna.

Wolf, the owner of a York cabinet company, leads the pack of four candidates with 33 percent of polled Democrats. It's a drop from the 36 percent he garnered in a late February poll, but still far above the numbers for his opponents.

The next highest-polling candidate is Congresswoman Allyson Schwartz with seven percent, followed by state Treasurer Rob McCord with six percent and former Department of Environmental Protection secretary Katie McGinty with four percent.

Among so-called super-voters - people who have cast ballots in the last four Democratic primaries - Wolf has 38 percent.

Madonna said support for Wolf is driven by his campaign's television ads, which aired early and often.

"71 percent of registered Democrats have seen a TV commercial for governor," Madonna said. "85 percent of them have seen a Wolf advertisement -- compared to his closest rival, 42 percent with Rob McCord."

The poll had 524 respondents and a margin of error of plus or minus four-point-three percentage points.


Published in State House Sound Bites

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