State House Sound Bites

Capitol reporter Katie Meyer covers Pennsylvania politics and issues at the Pennsylvania state capitol.
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Capitolwire: GOP trying to salvage turnout

Written by Mary Wilson, Former Capitol Bureau Chief | Sep 20, 2012 4:26 PM

Rove map.jpgHere’s what we’ve got: polls this week by the likes of the Inquirer, Pew Research, and Muhlenberg College showing President Obama has a sizable lead in Pennsylvania – between eight and 11 points.

Then, this morning, we get an internal poll released by the state GOP, showing the president up by just one point over Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney.

Capitolwire alerts us, now, to GOP strategist Karl Rove’s site, which shows Pennsylvania squarely in the “safe Obama” territory.

What’s it all mean? We turn now to the eminently quotable G. Terry Madonna, pollster and political scientist professor at Franklin & Marshall College:

“Why do they (state GOP) release a poll showing Obama with only a one-point lead? Why do you think they’re bringing surrogates in?” Madonna said. “…They don’t want the bottom to fall out of their turnout.”

...Madonna believes the 2012 election won’t size up to major wave elections, like the Democrats’ waves in 2006 and 2008 or the 2010 GOP wave.

But momentum is key. He said, “The swing voters in the state go for the party that’s riding the wave.”


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