Smart Talk

Smart Talk is a daily, live, interactive program featuring conversations with newsmakers and experts in a variety of fields and exploring a wide range of issues and ideas, including the economy, politics, health care, education, culture, and the environment.  Smart Talk airs live every week day at 9 a.m. on WITF’s 89.5 and 93.3.

Listen to Smart Talk live online from 9-10 a.m. weekdays and at 7 p.m. (Repeat of 9 a.m. program)

Host: Scott LaMar

Smart Talk: Superforecasting; Budget impasse puts scholarships in jeopardy

Written by Scott LaMar, Smart Talk Host/Executive Producer | Dec 17, 2015 9:05 AM
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What to look for on Smart Talk Thursday, December 17, 2015:

How often do you forecast your future?  You probably don't realize you're doing it every single day when you make decisions.  Once you've made a decision you have an expected outcome so while it may not be forecasting tomorrow's weather or predicting which teams will win this weekend's football games, you are thinking about your immediate future.

That's just one aspect of Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner's new book Superforecasting -- The Art and Science of Prediction.  It the WITF and Aaron's Books Pick-of-the-Month for December.

The authors say there are people who are superforecasters in that they are very accurate with their predictions.  This isn't an examination of psychic type predictions but how superforecasters use research and knowledge to accurately forecast serious issues and events.  he book says some people are better at it than others and explains why.

Co-author Dan Gardner and Warren HatchSuperforecaster and Senior Vice President at Good Judgment, Inc. appears on Smart Talk.

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner is available at Aaron's Books in Lititz. For more information visit our Pick of the Month page or AaronsBooks.com.

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Roger Smith & Rebecca Doumaux

Also as part of WITF's Gridlocked project that looks deeper into the impact of the state budget impasse, Smart Talk focuses on two organizations who rely on Educational Improvement Tax Credits that could be in jeopardy if the budget isn't passed by December 31.

Rebecca Doumaux, President of Junior Achievement of Central Pennsylvania and Roger Smith, Executive Director of the Perry County Council of the Arts join us on Thursday's show.

Published in News, Smart Talk

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