Analysis: Perry will stay in office while Democrats gain 3 new seats

Written by Rick Lee/York Daily Record | Aug 21, 2018 11:54 AM

U.S. Congressman Scott Perry (Photo: File)

Political analysis group FiveThirtyEight predicts incumbent Republican Congressman Scott Perry will retain his seat but that there will be a 50-50 partisan split among the 18 Pennsylvania congressional races in November.

Prior to redistricting, resignations and retirements, there were 12 Republicans and six Democrats representing Pennsylvania on Capitol Hill.

Now, three formerly Republican seats -- vacated by Representatives Pat Meehan, Ryan Costello and Rep. Charlie Dent -- are expected to be picked up by Democrats.

Democratic incumbents Brendan Boyle, Dwight Evans, Mike Doyle and Matt Cartwright are predicted to retain their seats. Conor Lamb, who was redistricted from the 17th to the 18th district, is the fourth Democrat expected to stay in office.

State Rep. Madeleine Dean, D-Montgomery County, is predicted to win in the redrawn 4th District.

Along with Perry, Republican Lloyd Smucker, whose district picked up a sizeable portion of southern York County in the redistricting, is expected to hold off Democratic challenger Jess King.

This story comes to us through a partnership between WITF and The York Daily Record. 

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